.See the rematch odds here. Conor McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov is a clash of styles that the sport of MMA was created for. Perhaps the best striker in the game vs the best grappler in the game is a dream fight for UFC fans and Nurmagomedov, the current UFC lightweight champion, is favored to win at -170 with McGregor coming back at +140. According to Five Dimes, Khabib is a -350 favorite over Poirier, who is a +250 underdog. These odds are expected to change as the fight gets closer to taking place. Khabib defeated Conor McGregor. Oct 21, 2020 The UFC will heat up the Flash Forum on UFC Fight Island in Abu Dhabi for UFC 254 on Saturday Oct. 24 and the main event will feature a UFC Lightweight Championship bout between champion Khabib Nurmagomedov and interim champion Justin Gaethje. Our Vegas Insiders provide the opening odds and line movement analysis for the title fight. Nov 30, 2019 With the fight official, the early betting odds have champ Nurmagomedov a decent favorite. Nurmagomedov is a -250 favorite at BetMGM.com. The comeback on Ferguson is +180. In other words, a $100 bet on Ferguson would pay out $280 (including the original $100 wager) if he pulls the upset.

• October 21, 2020
• By Adam Lykkesteen
• VegasInsider.com

UFC 254 Odds & Analysis

The Ultimate Fighting Championship heads back to UFC Fight Island on the 24th of October for UFC 254 headlined by Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Justin Gaethje squaring off for the UFC Lightweight Championship.

We’re going to take a closer look at the opening betting odds and line movements for the main event.

UFC 253 Recap

UFC 253: Underdogs 5-6 (Return +157)

UFC 253 marked the return of the underdogs, as the four prior events had seen favorites up +1815. Blinding betting $100 on all underdogs of UFC 253 would’ve given you a $157 profit.

UFC 254 NURMAGOMEDOV-GAETHJE BETTING RESOURCES

• Date: Saturday, Oct. 24, 2020
• TV-Time: ESPN/ESPN+, ESPN PPV 10:00 a.m. ET
• Venue: Flash Forum
• Location: Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

UFC LIGHTWEIGHT CHAMPIONSHIP ODDS
KHABIB NURMAGOMEDOV VS. JUSTIN GAETHJE

The undisputed lightweight champion, Khabib Nurmagomedov, puts his undefeated record on the line when he faces interim champion Justin Gaethje in the main event of UFC 254. Gaethje is fresh off the biggest win of his career over Tony Ferguson, rounding out a clinical performance with a 5th round TKO win over ‘El Cucuy’ at UFC 249.

The last time we saw Nurmagomedov compete was when he beat top contender Dustin Poirier via 2nd round submission a year ago at UFC 242, in Abu Dhabi.

This fight is Nurmagomedov’s to lose, as he puts everything on the line to try and beat the next hungry challenger. Will Gaethje be the one to take the champion’s 0?

NURMAGOMEDOV VS. GAETHJE ODDS MOVEMENT

This line initially opened back in July, it was with the champion as a -250 favorite (Bet $100 to win $40) and Gaethje as a +200 underdog.

Since then, the line movement listed below has reflected a dispute over where the value is.

As of Wednesday Oct. 21, Nurmagomedov has spiked up to a minus-350 favorite over Gaethje as bettors have shown more of a lean to the undefeated champion.

Along with backing Khabib to win the fight, the early Over-Under money is expecting the fight to finish in less than 22 and a half minutes. Total bettors have been staring at a number of 4.5 rounds with the money shaded to the Under (-175) versus the Over (+155).

I would expect more money to come in on the Under by Saturday knowing Khabib has finished his last two opponents inside distance and Gaethje has only heard the judges scorecards twice in his 24-fight career.

Khabib Mcgregor Vegas Odds

KHABIB NURMAGOMEDOV VS. JUSTIN GAETHJE
BETTING ANALYSIS

I can’t argue with the betting line for this fight. Nurmagomedov is the undefeated champion who has crushed every single opponent in his tracks. On the other hand, Gaethje does pose an interesting challenge for the Russian. With his background in wrestling, he will rely on his takedown defense to hold up against Nurmagomedov’s relentless attempts of getting this fight to the mat.

Now with that being said, I reckon Gaethje’s wrestling credentials have been oversold just a bit as of late. Sure, people want to see Khabib struggle, but in comparison, to the champion’s extensive wrestling foundation I see no one in the lightweight division coming close, apart from newly signed olympic wrestler Mark O. Madsen.

Gaethje has stopped 7 out of 9 takedowns attempted against him in his UFC career, and has an 80% takedown defense to boast about. Here’s my issue: Justin hasn’t faced a chain wrestler like Khabib in the UFC before. Someone who does not stop until he has you pinned on the ground. Justin’s cardio will be severely tested in this fight, and I don’t see it holding up for 5 rounds on the backfoot against the champion.

In 2020, champions have bested the challenger in every single title fight (excluding fights for a vacant belt). This gives us statistical significance on the champion, and while laying -286 chalk on the champion might not seem that appealing, I think the betting line will start to favor Gaethje a bit more in the not too distant future.

He had that main event spot against Tony Ferguson. It was during the COVID-19 lockdown where casual bettors from all sports were flocking to the UFC events since they were the only thing that was on.

Now, the casual bettors are all over Gaethje, and even though his performance against Ferguson was impressive, we have to remember that styles make fights, and a fight against a pure striker hardly prepares you for a pure grappler.

Averaging 5+ takedowns per fight and absorbing just over one strike per minute, I like the champion in this spot. He has very effective head movement, and rarely gets hit. I don’t see how Gaethje has a better chance than someone like McGregor, who has the most dynamic and fluid striking in the division if you ask me.

UFC NURMAGOMEDOV - BETTING HISTORY (LAST 5)

UFC 242: Nurmagomedov vs. Poirier
Khabib Nurmagomedov -455 vs. Dustin Poirier +350

UFC 229: Nurmagomedov vs. McGregor
Khabib Nurmagomedov -189 vs. Conor McGregor +162

UFC 223: Nurmagomedov vs. Iaquinta
Khabib Nurmagomedov -615 vs. Al Iaquinta +495

UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
Khabib Nurmagomedov -398 vs. Edson Barboza +342

UFC 205: Alvarez vs. McGregor
Khabib Nurmagomedov -336 vs. Michael Johnson +294

UFC GAETHJE - BETTING HISTORY (LAST 5)

UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje
Justin Gaethje +200 vs. Tony Ferguson -250

UFC on ESPN+ 16: Cowboy vs. Gaethje
Justin Gaethje -175 vs. Donald Cerrone +150

UFC on ESPN+ 2: Barboza vs. Gaethje
Justin Gaethje +100 vs. Edson Barboza -125

UFC Fight Night 135: Gaethje vs. Vick
Justin Gaethje +123 vs. James Vick -137

UFC on FOX 29: Poirier vs. Gaethje
Justin Gaethje +108 vs. Derek Brunson -122

UFC 249 Ferguson vs Gaethje Matchup Odds according to Bovada Sportsbook
Schedule for Saturday April 18th, 2020 - Reschedule for May 9th, 2020
Location: VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena, Jacksonville, Florida, USA

Updated on May 9, 2020

Ryan Spann vs Sam Alvey
Ryan Spann -450
Sam Alvey +325

Bryce Mitchell vs Charles Rosa
Bryce Mitchell -170
Charles Rosa +140

Vicente Luque vs Niko Price
Vicente Luque -280
Niko Price +220

Ronaldo Souza vs Uriah Hall- CANCEL
Ronaldo Souza
Uriah Hall

Carla Esparza vs Michelle Waterson
Carla Esparza -155
Michelle Waterson +125

Fabricio Werdum vs Aleksei Oleinik
Fabricio Werdum -335
Aleksei Oleinik +255

Anthony Pettis vs Donald Cerrone
Anthony Pettis -155
Donald Cerrone +125

Greg Hardy vs Yorgan De Castro
Greg Hardy -205
Yorgan De Castro +165

Calvin Kattar vs Jeremy Stephens
Calvin Kattar -280
Jeremy Stephens +220

Francis Ngannou vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Francis Ngannou -280
Jairzinho Rozenstruik +220

Khabib Betting Odds

Henry Cejudo vs Dominick Cruz
Henry Cejudo -210
Dominick Cruz +170

Tony Ferguson vs Justin Gaethje
Tony Ferguson -210
Justin Gaethje +170

Bet on UFC 249 Ferguson vs Gaethje Matchup Las Vegas Odds at Bovada Sportsbook.

ARCHIVES

UFC 249 Ferguson vs Gaethje Matchup Odds according to Bovada Sportsbook
Schedule for Saturday April 18th, 2020 - Reschedule for May 9th, 2020
Location: VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena, Jacksonville, Florida, USA

Updated on May 4, 2020

Ryan Spann vs Sam Alvey
Ryan Spann -450
Sam Alvey +325

Bryce Mitchell vs Charles Rosa
Bryce Mitchell -160
Charles Rosa +130

Vicente Luque vs Niko Price
Vicente Luque -280
Niko Price +220

Ronaldo Souza vs Uriah Hall
Ronaldo Souza -135
Uriah Hall +105

Carla Esparza vs Michelle Waterson
Carla Esparza -160
Michelle Waterson +130

Fabricio Werdum vs Aleksei Oleinik
Fabricio Werdum -310
Aleksei Oleinik +240

Anthony Pettis vs Donald Cerrone
Anthony Pettis -140
Donald Cerrone +110

Greg Hardy vs Yorgan De Castro
Greg Hardy -210
Yorgan De Castro +170

Calvin Kattar vs Jeremy Stephens
Calvin Kattar -250
Jeremy Stephens +195

Francis Ngannou vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Francis Ngannou -280
Jairzinho Rozenstruik +220

Henry Cejudo vs Dominick Cruz
Henry Cejudo -230
Dominick Cruz +180

Tony Ferguson vs Justin Gaethje
Tony Ferguson -180
Justin Gaethje +150

UFC 249 Ferguson vs Gaethje Matchup Odds according to Bovada Sportsbook
Schedule for Saturday April 18th, 2020 - Reschedule for May 9th, 2020
Location: VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena, Jacksonville, Florida, USA

Updated on April 28, 2020

Ryan Spann vs Sam Alvey
Ryan Spann -400
Sam Alvey +300

Bryce Mitchell vs Charles Rosa
Bryce Mitchell -190
Charles Rosa +155

Vicente Luque vs Niko Price
Vicente Luque -275
Niko Price +215

Ronaldo Souza vs Uriah Hall
Ronaldo Souza -130
Uriah Hall EVEN

Carla Esparza vs Michelle Waterson
Carla Esparza -150
Michelle Waterson +120

Fabricio Werdum vs Aleksei Oleinik
Fabricio Werdum -335
Aleksei Oleinik +255

Anthony Pettis vs Donald Cerrone
Anthony Pettis -155
Donald Cerrone +125

Greg Hardy vs Yorgan De Castro
Greg Hardy -185
Yorgan De Castro +150

Calvin Kattar vs Jeremy Stephens
Calvin Kattar -260
Jeremy Stephens +200

Francis Ngannou vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Francis Ngannou -325
Jairzinho Rozenstruik +250

Henry Cejudo vs Dominick Cruz
Henry Cejudo -240
Dominick Cruz +190

Tony Ferguson vs Justin Gaethje
Tony Ferguson -180
Justin Gaethje +150

UFC 249 Ferguson vs Gaethje Matchup Odds according to Bovada Sportsbook
Schedule for Saturday April 18th, 2020 - Reschedule for May 9th, 2020
Location: TBD

Updated on April 8, 2020

Ryan Spann vs Sam Alvey
Ryan Spann -360
Sam Alvey +270

Sijara Eubanks vs Sarah Moras
Sijara Eubanks -315
Sarah Moras +245

Michael Johnson vs Khama Worthy
Michael Johnson -235
Khama Worthy +185

Ray Borg vs Marlon Vera
Ray Borg -130
Marlon Vera EVEN

Alexander Hernandez vs Omar Morales
Alexander Hernandez -235
Omar Morales +185

Ronaldo Souza vs Uriah Hall
Ronaldo Souza -150
Uriah Hall +120

Francis Ngannou vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Francis Ngannou -270
Jairzinho Rozenstruik +210

Calvin Kattar vs Jeremy Stephens
Calvin Kattar -265
Jeremy Stephens +205

Vicente Luque vs Niko Price
Vicente Luque -260
Niko Price +200

Greg Hardy vs Yorgan De Castro
Greg Hardy -200
Yorgan De Castro +160

Rose Namajunas vs Jessica Andrade
Rose Namajunas -205
Jessica Andrade +165

Mcgregor Khabib Vegas Odds

Tony Ferguson vs Justin Gaethje
Tony Ferguson -185
Justin Gaethje +150

UFC 249 Khabib vs Ferguson Matchup Odds according to Bovada Sportsbook
Schedule for Saturday April 18th, 2020
Location: Barclays Center, New York, United States

Updated on March 20, 2020

Calvin Kattar vs Jeremy Stephens
Fight Winner
Calvin Kattar -240
Jeremy Stephens +190

Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Tony Ferguson
Fight Winner
Khabib Nurmagomedov -300
Tony Ferguson +230

Ronaldo Souza vs Uriah Hall
Fight Winner
Ronaldo Souza -150
Uriah Hall +120

Rose Namajunas vs Jessica Andrade
Fight Winner
Rose Namajunas -185
Jessica Andrade +150

UFC 249 Khabib vs Ferguson Matchup Odds according to Bovada Sportsbook
Schedule for Saturday April 18th, 2020
Location: Barclays Center, New York, United States

February 13, 2020

Calvin Kattar vs Jeremy Stephens
Fight Winner
Calvin Kattar -230
Jeremy Stephens +180

Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Tony Ferguson
Fight Winner
Khabib Nurmagomedov -270
Tony Ferguson +210

Ronaldo Souza vs Uriah Hall
Fight Winner
Ronaldo Souza -150
Uriah Hall +120

Rose Namajunas vs Jessica Andrade
Fight Winner
Rose Namajunas -165
Jessica Andrade +135

UFC 249 Khabib vs Ferguson Matchup Odds according to Bovada Sportsbook
Schedule for Saturday April 18th, 2020
Location: Barclays Center, New York, United States

February 10, 2020

Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Tony Ferguson
Fight Winner
Khabib Nurmagomedov -260
Tony Ferguson +200

UFC 249 Khabib vs Ferguson Matchup Odds according to Bovada Sportsbook
Schedule for Saturday April 18th, 2020
Location: Barclays Center, New York, United States

January 17, 2020

Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Tony Ferguson
Fight Winner
Khabib Nurmagomedov -235
Tony Ferguson +185

Vegas Odds Ncaa Basketball

UFC 249 Khabib vs Ferguson Matchup Odds according to Bovada Sportsbook
Schedule for Saturday April 18th, 2020
Location: Barclays Center, New York, United States

December 19, 2019

Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Tony Ferguson
Fight Winner
Khabib Nurmagomedov -230
Tony Ferguson +180

UFC 249 Khabib vs Ferguson Matchup Odds according to Bovada Sportsbook
Schedule for Saturday April 18th, 2020
Location: Barclays Center, New York, United States

December 9, 2019

Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Tony Ferguson
Fight Winner
Khabib Nurmagomedov -230
Tony Ferguson +180

Bet on UFC 249 Khabib vs Ferguson Matchup Las Vegas Odds at Bovada Sportsbook.