Nfl 1st Pick Odds
Expert NFL picks and predictions from SportsLine.com. NFL Playoff Picks: Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens 1/16/21 NFL Picks, Odds, Predictions Chris Ruffolo January 16, 2021 at 8:15 PM EST The Buffalo Bills face off with the Baltimore Ravens in an.
At sportsbooks with the prop available for No. 1 pick in the NFL Draft, Lawrence is favored in all of them. His lowest odds are -1200 at BetMGM; his highest odds are -6000 at FanDuel. In that case, a bettor must risk $6,000 to profit $100. That comes with an implied probability greater than 95%. Atlanta Falcons (4-11). Average draft position: 4.5 FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 75.8% FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Clinched. NFL computer picks are computer-generated NFL outcomes that rely only on facts and figures to provide the top, unbiased stats-driven simulated NFL predictions for every game each week over the course of the entire NFL season. NFL computer picks are popular because football bettors trust the accuracy of a computer’s algorithm over human influence.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have locked up the No. 1 overall pick in the 2021 NFL draft, while the New York Jets have clinched the No. 2 pick. The Jets had been the favorites for the top spot since Week 5, according to the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI), but back-to-back wins in Weeks 15 and 16 means the Jaguars now get their chance at the top quarterback in the class. The rest of the top 10 is still undecided.
Each week during the season, the FPI projects the draft order by simulating the remainder of the season 10,000 times. Game probabilities are based largely on the model's ratings for individual teams in addition to game locations. The order is based on the record the model believes the teams will have after 16 games, as well as each team's average draft position in the simulations.
Check out the full 1-32 projection for the 2021 NFL draft (updated on Dec. 29):
1. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-14)
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: Clinched
2. New York Jets (2-13)
FPI chance to earn No. 2 pick: Clinched
3. Atlanta Falcons (4-11)
Average draft position: 4.5
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 75.8%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Clinched
4. Miami Dolphins (10-5; from 4-11 HOU)
Average draft position: 4.7
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 62%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Clinched
5. Cincinnati Bengals (4-10-1)
Average draft position: 5.3
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 73.7%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Clinched
6. Philadelphia Eagles (4-10-1)
Average draft position: 6.4
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 40.6%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Clinched
7. Detroit Lions (5-10)
Average draft position: 7.0
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 28.3%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 84.3%
8. Carolina Panthers (5-10)
Average draft position: 8.0
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 9.2%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 77%
9. Denver Broncos (5-10)
Average draft position: 10.3
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 0.3%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 53.6%
10. Los Angeles Chargers (6-9)
Average draft position: 10.8
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: Eliminated
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 45.4%
11. New York Giants (5-10)
Average draft position: 11.4
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 10.1%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 49.2%
12. Dallas Cowboys (6-9)
Average draft position: 12.0
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: Eliminated
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 52.2%
13. Minnesota Vikings (6-9)
Average draft position: 13.3
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: Eliminated
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 1.4%
14. San Francisco 49ers (6-9)
Average draft position: 13.4
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: Eliminated
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 0.6%
15. New England Patriots (6-8)
Average draft position: 14.8
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: Eliminated
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 0.2%
16. Las Vegas Raiders (7-8)
Average draft position: 16.3
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Eliminated
17. Washington Football Team (6-9)
Average draft position: 16.4
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 36.2%
18. Arizona Cardinals (8-7)
Average draft position: 18.4
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Eliminated
19. Chicago Bears (8-7)
Average draft position: 19.9
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Eliminated
20. Cleveland Browns (10-5)
Average draft position: 20.6
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Eliminated
21. Miami Dolphins (10-5)
Average draft position: 22.2
22. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15; from 9-6 LAR)
Average draft position: 22.3
23. Indianapolis Colts (10-5)
Average draft position: 22.8
24. Tennessee Titans (10-5)
Average draft position: 24.0
25. Baltimore Ravens (10-5)
Average draft position: 25.1
26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-5)
Average draft position: 26.3
27. New York Jets (2-13; from 11-4 SEA)
Average draft position: 26.5
28. Pittsburgh Steelers (12-3)
Average draft position: 27.3
29. Buffalo Bills (11-3)
Average draft position: 27.6
30. New Orleans Saints (11-4)
Average draft position: 28.0
31. Green Bay Packers (12-3)
Average draft position: 29.2
32. Kansas City Chiefs (14-1)
Average draft position: 30.5
How to bet NFL Las Vegas 1st Half Odds
Football is by far the most popular sport to bet and being able to wager on 1st Half odds gives you more opportunities to win. If youre looking to get more involved, then you better check out the NFL Las Vegas 1st Half Odds.
Similar to the NFL Las Vegas Odds, the 1st Half Odds focus are based on point-spread wagers.
Unless the game is listed at pick em, every matchup will have a favorite and an underdog. Every contest starts with the Date and Time before listing the Rotation of the matchup. Some sportsbooks may use a different rotation for the first-half, but its likely just an extra digit associated to the rotation for the full game.
Unlike full game wagers, NFL Las Vegas 1st Half Odds are only for the first 30 minutes of a game. Game wagers, money-line bets and over-under (total) selections are decided on the full 60 minutes and any additional overtime action if the contest happens to see an extra session.
After the final 30 minutes end, your wager is final and most sportsbooks will grade and payout quickly after the outcome has been made official. Betting on the 1st Half Odds isnt for everybody but our numbers from multiple books certainly make for a great resource.
NFL 1st Half Over-Under Odds
Over-Under or Totals are also offered on our NFL First Half Odds page. Bettors can wager on the two teams to go over or under the posted total and the odds are set for the first 30 minutes of the matchup. If youre hoping for plenty of points early, then an over wager is a solid choice and if you believe both teams will play a defensive style and run clock, then an under ticket could be the way to go.
How to read NFL 1st Half Odds
Understanding how the oddsmakers set NFL Odds could be a little overwhelming at times and maybe confusing. However, there are a couple things to understand when looking at the Game Odds and 1st Half Odds. Normally, you would think that the lines would be trimmed in half for the first 30 minutes and then the full 60 minutes.
Thats not the case.
Game Line: Atlanta at Minnesota (-4.5)
1st Half Line: Atlanta at Minnesota (-3)
In this example, Minnesota needs to win by five points or more to cover the entire game, but has to be leading by four points or more to cash 1st Half bets. Obviously, those numbers don't line up for half the time of the game as bookmakers have made Minnesota a three-point favorite in the 1st Half instead of a 2.5-point favorite.
Most bettors lean to the favorites, especially at home, so the oddsmakers add an extra point for that theory. If you happen to see a favorite lay less than half of the full number, it could make you run to the counter and back the chalk but some sharp bettors will tell you its a trap set by the guys behind the counter.
The Over-Under and Total lines for the NFL 1st Half aren't too far off from the entire game Total.
Game Total: 48
1st Half Total: 23.5
Sticking with Minnesota and Atlanta squaring off, the total of this particular contest closed at 48 for the game. However, the 1st Half Total is 23.5, which means an 'over' ticket needs at least 24 points or more to be scored prior to halftime, while 23 points or fewer equates to a winning 'under' ticket.
Nfl 1st Pick Odds College Bowl
Remember, since they are separate bets you can bet 'over' in the 1st Half and 'under' for the game and win both potentially. In some cases, teams are more prone to start slowly in the opening half and score more points after halftime, so keep that in mind when making 1st Half wagers.